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The world could soon feel the effects of an even more extreme version of the climate phenomenon known as El Niño. Experts fear the arrival of this more powerful variant, which would bring extremely high temperatures and stronger storms. There is a risk of floods, severe droughts and forest fires.
El Niño has been developing in the tropical Pacific for months and its effects are already being felt by residents of the United States of America, for example. According to meteorologists, this winter was significantly drier and warmer than usual, writes The News Tribune portal.
In addition, experts at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) fear that an even more extreme variant of this phenomenon, the so-called Super El Niño, is imminent. “Based on the latest forecasts, there is a 54% chance of a historically strong El Niño developing by the end of January,” a report said. And it should last until the middle of the year.
While the characteristic feature of the “classic” El Niño phenomenon is an increase in sea surface temperatures of at least 0.8 ° C above the long-term average in the central equatorial Pacific region, in an extreme variant, temperatures in the region reach up to 0.8 ° C 2°C above average.
The last extreme El Niño had a significant impact on the weather in 2016. And it looks like the phenomenon will have a big impact on the weather around the world this year too, the NTV portal reported.
According to many climatologists, 2024 will be the warmest year on record. “Unprecedented levels of greenhouse gases will fall, we will experience new global temperature peaks, record sea levels will rise and the amount of ice in Antarctica will decrease,” The Guardian portal quoted World Meteorological Organization Secretary General Petteri Taalas as saying.
As a result of increased climate change and high temperatures, the world will experience more severe storms, floods, heat waves, wildfires and other extreme weather-related events.
However, NOAA cautions that even in the event of a Super El Niño, the phenomenon may not have the same significant or equal impact worldwide. According to the NTV portal, the effect of the phenomenon is significantly weaker in Europe, for example. There, temperature and pressure conditions in the North Atlantic, the Mediterranean, Scandinavia and the Arctic play a more important role.
What kind of weather awaits us on the first weekend of the year, said meteorologist Dagmar Honsová:
TN.cz
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