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“At the moment the war has become a war of position. However, a favorable situation could arise for the Ukrainian defenders on the left bank of the Dnieper if the river freezes well. After that, Ukrainian troops will be able to freely move to the left bank and conduct combat operations. “If the ice can accommodate armored vehicles, it would be a great gift for the Ukrainian army,” Nedzelskyi said.
The Institute for War Research (ISW) wrote on Wednesday that the Russian army was concerned about possible Ukrainian attacks on the left bank of the Dnieper in the Kherson region. According to him, the Russian occupiers built half a kilometer long trenches and other defensive positions along the M14 highway on the left bank.
In this area, the Ukrainians hold their positions on the eastern bank of the Dnieper, but try to make further territorial gains towards the positions temporarily occupied by the Russians. Fighting still continues here, but ISW reports that neither side has made any territorial gains.
The Russians fear the Ukrainian advance in the Kherson region and are consolidating their positions near the M14 highway
“The Russians don’t have enough forces”
Vadym Skibitskyi, spokesman for the Ukrainian Military Intelligence Service (GUR), said on Thursday at an economic forum in Davos, Switzerland, that although mobilization measures in Russia continued, the country no longer had reserves for an attack in several directions at the same time. According to Ukrainian intelligence, only tactical combat operations are continuing.
According to him, Russia manages to compensate for the losses it has suffered on a daily basis, but the reserve is not enough to carry out strong strategic offensive operations in two or three directions, which Russian President Vladimir Putin spoke about.
“The ground and air forces of the Russian Armed Forces today are not capable of carrying out strategic offensive operations. Offensive tactics – yes. And we see that they will continue to do so, but it is impossible for them to carry out strategic offensive operations without strong tactical reserves,” Skibitskyi explained, according to Oboz.ua.
It’s a suicide mission, say Ukrainian soldiers about the fighting on the left bank of the Dnieper
Nedzelskyj agrees with Skibitsky. “From the point of view of purely academic military science, the attacking party must have three to five times superiority in order to carry out an offensive… We know very well the distribution and number of armed forces that Russia has today. And even when it comes to mobilization measures, they lack the strength. They lose a lot of weapons, assault equipment, tanks, armored personnel carriers and aircraft. “Today, Russia simply does not have the strength for an effective offensive in multiple directions,” he said.
However, according to him, Russia still dominates aviation. “Our allies have not provided us with certain types of weapons that could ensure success. And first and foremost it is aviation. Unfortunately, our allies have not fulfilled their obligations to Ukraine. Now we’re talking about the F-16. “As soon as they show up at our door, we will control the skies,” Nedezelskyj emphasized, adding that this is exactly why the standoff occurred. “Neither the enemy can advance nor can we launch a counteroffensive,” he said.
Idiots, you could have had peace. Putin has increased his threats against Ukraine
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