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After four years, this year is once again dominated by the largest political circus in the world. The Republican primaries begin in two weeks and will decide who will be President Joe Biden’s challenger. So far it looks like a repeat of the fight between him and Donald Trump in the White House in November 2020. What will decide the winner this time?
“In any case, it’s not a good situation. We need young blood. “Politicians who unite the country, not divide it,” says a respondent from public broadcaster NHPR in the state of New Hampshire, who will be among the first to vote in the primary elections.
While incumbent Joe Biden has no serious opponents in the party and his candidacy is almost certain, Trump must first defeat his Republican challengers.
For a long time it looked as if his biggest rival would be Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, but in the end he failed to convince voters. The strongly conservative politician is all too similar to Trump.
In recent weeks, however, support has increased for the only woman in the Republican race, Nikki Haley. According to polls, she has the best chance of defeating Trump and then Joe Biden in the election itself. Nevertheless, Trump continues to dominate the Republican polls.
Dominant Trump
In the state of Iowa, where Republicans will vote on January 15, Trump had the support of more than half of Republican voters in December polls. This is a completely unprecedented high number. Analysts say there are now fewer candidates, but the former president has an even bigger lead.
“For the other candidates, it doesn’t matter what they say, it doesn’t matter what they do. Because my vote automatically goes to Trump no matter what,” 67-year-old Republican Iowa voter Timothy Blackerby told NBC News.
Nevertheless, the authors of the survey admit that anything is still possible. Donald Trump is still awaiting trial on felony charges in four different locations: New York, Washington DC, Georgia and Florida. A significant portion of Iowa voters, who will vote in the primary long before the court’s decision, are hesitant about whether to vote for Haley.
In addition, a court in Colorado in late December banned Trump from participating in the Republican primary in that state due to his role in the violence at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. The former president has appealed and the US is waiting to see what happens US Supreme Court will handle the matter.
But most Americans are already worried that in November they will have to choose between the now 81-year-old Biden and the 77-year-old Trump. “They are both very old. I’m afraid they won’t even last four years in office and I would be more interested to know who their vice president will be because he will rule after them. It’s me.” “I’m old myself, so I know what it’s like,” describes the aforementioned voter from New Hampshire.
Biden’s problems
In recent months there has been increasing speculation about the health of the two preferred candidates. While Joe Biden stumbled on the stage last year and was often plagued by controversy, Donald Trump confusedly claimed that he beat Barack Obama in the election or that Biden fought in World War II.
But it’s not just age that makes Biden’s candidacy difficult, which is a fundamental problem for most Democrats. In mid-December, Republicans in Congress launched an investigation into the president, which could lead to a vote on his possible removal (so-called impeachment).
Although Republican politicians have failed to make a clear accusation, the trial will allow them to question White House aides and Biden’s relatives, which will not help the president before the election. Trump faced this process twice as head of the White House.
The fight for democracy
In the last election, most Americans voted for Biden. But Trump and his supporters did not give up, which led, among other things, to many false allegations of election fraud and ultimately to an attack on the Capitol, where Biden was officially confirmed as the election winner.
Although many Democratic voters viewed Biden’s win as a victory for democracy, he now has less support. According to a mid-December poll by the Harvard University Center for American Political Studies, Trump would beat him with 53 percent of the vote.
In general, polls show more Democrats support abortion and climate change and more Republicans support the economy and immigration, CNN notes.
Video: Joe Biden suddenly began to remember the film with John Wayne and the Indians in connection with climate change (07/11/2023)
Joe Biden suddenly began to remember the movie with John Wayne and the Indians in the context of climate change. | Video: X/Simon Ateba
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