After the failure of Alberto Fernández’s experiment as a “dove” of Kirchnerism, now the Frente de Todos launches a second version, perfected, of political centrality focused on a moderate and anti-rift Peronist. The landing of Serge Massa in the National Cabinet as a minister he comes to occupy the center space that he has been building Horacio Rodriguez Larreta to overcome the antinomies and become a consensus presidential candidate within Together for Change.
Two scenarios now open. Both seem equally delicate for the aspirations of the head of the Buenos Aires Government in 2023. If Serge Massa things are going well for him and he manages to stabilize the macroeconomy, through a brake on the exchange rate run, a decrease in the inflation rates and the recomposition of confidence in the government coalition, then Peronism will once again have a competitive candidate for the presidential next year. In Kirchnerist jargon, there will be 2023 for the Frente de Todos.
But yes Massa fails, either due to external economic factors such as the war in Ukraine, an international financial crisis or the voracious internal dynamic between Alberto Fernández and Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner, the political rift will become more acute than ever. And that is the scenario where he feels most comfortable Mauricio Macri. That is, a possible failure of Massa It would come to show that moderation is not enough and that it would be necessary to maximize the profile of the opposition candidate to apply the structural reforms that the country needs.
And Massa advances and carries out a successful administration, stands in the center of the political scene and dislodges Larreta, another moderate but from the opposite sidewalk. Yes Massa slips in the management, it will be the time of the “hawks” when it comes to diagramming the electoral ballots of both Kirchnerism and Together for Change. The head of the Renovating Front even has direct connections with the radical Gerardo Morales, with whom he maintains a local agreement in Jujuy that exasperates Mauricio Macri. In addition to the well-known personal friendship that the Tigren has had for years with Rodriguez Larreta.
Massa he was the author of tax relief for 4.5 million monotributistas and more than 140 thousand self-employed workers. A project that achieved the signature of opponents such as Margarita Stolbizer, from Together for Change (JxC), and Alejandro Topo Rodríguez (Identidad Bonaerense). An agenda aimed at the middle class and the electorate that traditionally turns at the polls in favor of the opposition coalition.
“I saw the government’s swerve with great concern, it is all very improvised and there is a lack of direction. It is not a matter of people. The field has to know what the perspective is going to be,” said the head of the Buenos Aires government when speaking on Friday in The Rural of Palermo. It was the first public manifestation of him after the appointment of Serge Massa as super minister.
“I hope to see a plan, we have been in government for two and a half years and there is no clear course,” he added. Larreta He maintained that “it is a difficult time” and argued that “there was an Economy Minister who lasted three weeks,” after which he described the situation as “very improvised and lacking in direction.”
Morales also opted for prudence when giving his opinion on the restructuring of the Cabinet. “We must be cautious, wait for the decisions that will be made. These changes mean a political agreement within the Front of All (FdT),” said the also head of the National Committee of the Radical Civic Union.
However, he warned that “if the Grabois of the Government threaten social peace and pull, generating a climate of anarchy, the appointment of Massa It’s going to be more of the same.” “If the changes in the Cabinet solve that, it’s going to contribute to giving more peace of mind,” Morales said, ratifying “the responsible attitude of radicalism and JxC that we had since the negotiation with the IMF “.
Morales in fact played a fundamental role in the articulation between the opposition and the FdT, through his dialogue with Massaduring the support that JxC gave in Parliament to the agreement with the IMF, at a time when part of the ruling party voted against the understanding with the credit institution.
Harder before the designation of Massa it was the “hawks” of the opposition coalition, who questioned the official before he took office. “He is not a person who generates trust,” fired the head of the PRO, Patricia Bullrich, alluding to the leader of the Renovating Front and his new role in the national government.
