Ukraine war in the live ticker: end of the war? This forecast made the head of the Ukrainian military intelligence service

Updated on 05/14/2022 at 09:13

  • 08:30 am: Ukrainian military intelligence: War over by the end of the year
  • 04:06: NATO foreign ministers discuss Ukraine war in Berlin
  • 03:27 am: Odessa recognizes Azovstal fighters as heroes
  • 01:44 am: Kyiv sees “third phase” of war

Update live ticker on the war in Ukraine here

➤ Ukrainian military intelligence: war over by the end of the year

In a forecast, the head of the Ukrainian military intelligence service predicts that the war will end with a Russian defeat by the end of the year. There will be a turnaround on the fronts by mid-August at the latest, Major General Kyrylo Budanov told the British broadcaster Sky News on Friday evening. “The turning point will come in the second half of August.” By the end of the year, Ukraine will regain control of all its territories, including the Crimean Peninsula.

The secret service official denied that the Russian armed forces were often said to be strong. “It’s a myth.” They are not strong. “It’s just a horde of people with guns,” he said of the Russian army.

Budanov also expected major changes in the Kremlin. In his view, a coup against Russian President Vladimir Putin is already underway. “They are moving towards it, nothing will stop them.” In addition, Putin was seriously ill with cancer, he claimed. He did not provide evidence for his claims.

The situation at a glance:

Since February 24, Russia has been waging a war of aggression against Ukraine from the air and on the ground. Shortly before, President Vladimir Putin had questioned Ukraine’s right to exist as an independent state and recognized the so-called People’s Republics of Donetsk and Luhansk in eastern Ukraine.

Since then, the Ukrainian army has been fighting the invaders as best they can. Thousands of dead are reported on both sides, but exact numbers of soldiers and civilians have not been independently verified. The fact is: the humanitarian situation in Ukraine is getting worse every day. According to the UN, more than 6 million people have fled Ukraine (as of May 13), mostly women and children, since men between the ages of 18 and 60 are not allowed to leave the country.

The EU and the USA reacted with sanctions. They are also supplying arms to Ukraine, and Germany is also supporting the country with arms deliveries. Ukraine is also to receive Gepard-class tanks from Germany. So far, it has been ruled out that NATO will actively intervene in the war.

The areas of Ukraine occupied by Russian troops with the location of the steelworks in Mariupol. (Warning: This infographic will be updated regularly)

© dpa infographic GmbH

On the first weekend in April, images of the corpses of many civilians in the small town of Bucha near Kyiv caused international outrage. Ukraine speaks of serious war crimes and genocide and blames Russian troops for it. Despite numerous indications, Moscow denies having been involved in the deaths of the civilians. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stressed that negotiations with Russia should continue.

According to a Ukrainian statement, a long-prepared large-scale offensive by Russia in eastern Ukraine began on April 18.

The other news of the day:

NATO foreign ministers discuss Ukraine war in Berlin

04:06: From Saturday afternoon, the NATO foreign ministers will meet in Berlin for informal consultations on the Ukraine war together. Swedish Foreign Minister Ann Linde and her Finnish colleague Pekka Haavisto will also take part in a working lunch (from 7 p.m.). A joint press conference by Federal Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock (Greens) and NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg, who is connected via video, is planned for Sunday at 2:30 p.m. Stoltenberg is not personally attending the informal meeting in Berlin due to a corona infection. The meeting is likely to be dominated by the Finnish government’s announcement that it intends to apply for NATO membership. A similar decision by Sweden is expected on Sunday. Sweden and Finland joining NATO would be a turning point for the two states, which have been militarily neutral for decades. The debate about accession in both countries was set in motion by the Russian war of aggression against the Ukraine.

Odessa mayor recognizes Azovstal fighters as heroes

03:27 am: The Ukrainian soldiers entrenched in the Azovstal steelworks in the port city of Mariupol are real heroes for the mayor of Odessa. “In my opinion, Mariupol saves not only Odessa, but the entire Ukraine,” said Hennady Trukhanov on Saturday night, according to the Unian agency. “Because this selflessness shown by our military in Mariupol is a true example of heroism.”

While the port city of Odessa continues to come under repeated fire from Russian missiles, residents can still feel relatively safe.

After weeks of fighting the Russian attackers, the last defenders of Mariupol have entrenched themselves in the Azovstal steelworks. Previous attempts by Kiev to withdraw freely, possibly only for the seriously wounded, have been rejected by the Russian military. Rather, the Russian military leadership is demanding the surrender of the defenders.

Kyiv sees “third phase” of war

01:44 am: The Ukrainian leadership sees the beginning of the “third phase” of the Russian war of aggression and a protracted struggle associated with it. “Phase one” was an attempt to overrun Ukraine “in a few days,” said Viktor Andrusyw, adviser at the Ukrainian Ministry of the Interior on TV on Saturday night. In the second phase, the Ukrainian armed forces were again to be encircled and smashed in several pockets. “And they didn’t manage that either.”

Ukraine

Updated on 05/12/2022 at 10:30 am

The dpa and AP news agencies have published photos from inside the Asovstal steelworks in Mariupol. They were picked up by the Azov regiment of the Ukrainian National Guard – according to the agencies on May 10.

In the new “third phase” the Russian military prepared to defend the territory gained so far. “It shows that they want to make a long war out of it,” said Andrusyw. Apparently, the Russian government thinks that by prolonging the war, they can force the West to come to the negotiating table and thus force Ukraine to give in.

The reports on the war in Ukraine on May 13 can be found here

With material from dpa, AFP

Mariupol

Updated on 04/22/2022 10:02 am

The war in Ukraine is now entering its eighth week. Since then, the port city of Mariupol has been besieged by the Russian military – planned escape corridors have repeatedly failed. Recordings from Mariupol show the conditions in the hard-fought city.

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