# US bond market expects rate hikes the Fed may never deliver

> **Newsylist Open Intelligence Dossier** · First detected: 2026-06-25 12:51 UTC · Category: Business · Sources: 6 · Current Velocity: 3.67

## Executive Summary
Bank of America forecasts a series of Federal Reserve interest rate hikes in 2026, signaling a shift in the US bond market's expectations.

## Intelligence Brief
Bank of America has issued a new outlook calling for three interest rate hikes in 2026. This projection follows Kevin Warsh's first meeting as Federal Reserve chair.


The forecasts suggest the Fed will implement these hikes to address inflation. Coverage from Yahoo Finance, Fortune, and The Business Journals emphasizes BofA's pivot in its interest-rate outlook.


ABC News reports that rate increases could occur within months, while Reuters highlights a potential disconnect between bond market expectations and the Fed's actual delivery. Future developments depend on whether the Federal Reserve delivers the rate hikes anticipated by the bond market and Bank of America.

## Verified Facts & Key Claims
### How many rate hikes is Bank of America predicting?
Bank of America is calling for three rate hikes in 2026.

### What triggered the new BofA outlook?
The outlook follows Kevin Warsh's first meeting as Fed chair.

### What is the stated purpose of these potential hikes?
According to Fortune, the Fed would use these hikes to bring down inflation.

## Key People, Organizations & Locations
Kevin Warsh, Bank of America

## Multi-Source Evidence Table
| Source Outlet | Headline | Published (UTC) | Verification URL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financial Times | Higher rates and US stocks | 2026-06-25 10:09 | [Source Link](https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihAFBVV95cUxPdnRZT25nNG95SEhjbjk4c292RENxak0talliUmdYMFhfYXlHamhJcVNSTlpjR2NXSjJkS2JSUUxVUjlPRUdqSzJJTy1ldGVTakN0YWlpLW0zOEtHSGJNRk1ZNlZJYjRHUi1ibzlFTzlHa3lnckExdGtXZzlUeEFIZTR4aFc?oc=5) |
| Yahoo Finance Singapore | BofA flips the script with bombshell Fed interest-rate outlook | 2026-06-25 10:09 | [Source Link](https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihwFBVV95cUxOZzJod25wSlkyQnB1cTdGaEk3MkxENV8zNGJBRVltWW1XOUdIV1dPYl9oV3cydFM1RHVfX2ZwY2UxSTRJOHEzaWVyRDN1SnZid3hhekZTaXpaRFp1REFXUU1VWjMzRW04R1Jya1NfRTAxZ0MyNTVIc3psdVFVY3MtUi1XVFRjSTQ?oc=5) |
| The Business Journals | Bank of America now calls for three rate hikes in 2026 after Kevin Warsh's first meeting as Fed chair | 2026-06-25 10:09 | [Source Link](https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxNdllMclFESTNmM1lMa3dzN2JvX2dGRFRiRDlSakhVSmZYTzJEbGhrM1pyOFVWSWlSbVBvTWhGSGYwZTEzS0FFMEoxSFd6RXlNdTZlQXIyZkVRM29XbldZMWxFRTdVWUlWRWlBcGFZcVV4Y09UdXlaSHhCR0VUdDg2YnhMRUw3TFZIOG5rcWp3eTZLM1l5RWNjZ1JCREI5UW5INHRtWXRDOA?oc=5) |
| Fortune | The Fed will bring down the hammer on inflation with a series of rate hikes this year, BofA says | 2026-06-25 10:09 | [Source Link](https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqAFBVV95cUxPVFpiVlotVElCRTlCS0VCYWdJVk5PR2hZRHFyVEpFbGxnR09STEZBaWhZNl9USVN4RkxCdzUxd3hDUnBXNWVnaHNGeFdjOFJOT0VTTHd1N0pIclVTaV94UTdjR3FhYzQyVUstVHVFVnI1UENXZFY1QzBQQldhVHJscUFnc2hHTW1XcUxEWDNpaFJqNzFxS2s5WWhTeWtURXBxZjVvOUo3UG4?oc=5) |
| ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos | The Fed may raise interest rates within months. Here's what it means for you. | 2026-06-25 10:09 | [Source Link](https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijgFBVV95cUxNenUzMm5kWTJOUHEtcHhxdmdwbDBYb1dFME1RZ185dkxEcWRIanY3ZmRvUGs5WjZKbVJHLWxHdlNtUVV3Rm1lUE5EOVpjaGV5bVJHeUZhYm9HT29JY0JtSGdWdTkzeGxWMzJBeTBDYThUajFoaURnSG05ZnVpdnhxUHNkbi1uZGtsVFVXcEdB0gGTAUFVX3lxTE5RUERWVjBaZ1pSbEM1MEhPVzZWaWFEX3JOSGJlbmtDbnNwRzJuZ2hkckZ1dlJtbkJ6YjljeGhzdWVvZjhWMFp3TzhLSGM5Um9aSko2QV84cEVMNmtLa2hPNWR3Qnp2aUhHS0hhLWJqZG1HMi16aUc4cEtIdzV6emp3bFlQZ0UySmFpZVUyQWNYOGUwdw?oc=5) |
| Reuters | US bond market expects rate hikes the Fed may never deliver | 2026-06-25 10:09 | [Source Link](https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirAFBVV95cUxOb2xYMVNxREhIRmpJUjdXV3BXWTE1SmJER1YwOXhJVGozUkdScTdnWWRXLUxmOHhwWnAyOTY0MU9VVm5tZWNzd1ZmRUJCZGpNQ1I5Y0RTODJQZGFTNG9LYVpvT3hLa29uSkRjVjNXNFFoQmtCdG9CMHpRbktQY2pXR3p3ZFg4YXpWd1NCQ3NsellISWpQbHNtVnl4WVM2cVlvV1cyWDBwMlZpV3Zs?oc=5) |

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