Covid-19 variants: five more years under the yoke of the health crisis?

While the Delta variant continues to progress, to the point of becoming the majority in new cases of contamination, Emmanuel Macron must speak publicly this Monday, July 12 at 8 p.m. For virologist Mylène Ogliastro, lack of collective immunity, new restrictions are inevitable in the days and even years to come.

The end of the sanitary tunnel is not yet for today.

While Emmanuel Macron is due to speak this Monday, July 12 at 8 p.m. in a televised address, the specter of the Delta variant raises fears of a fourth wave in the country. According to The world, the President of the Republic should announce compulsory vaccination for caregivers, the extension of the health pass as well as the end of free PCR tests, especially for the unvaccinated. Should we also fear a backtracking on the last measures lifted on June 30?

“It is essential to go back on certain health restrictions”, answers Mylène Ogliastro, virologist at INRAE, at the microphone of Sputnik. “We are very far from having a sufficient level of immunization in the world population. The virus circulates, evolves and comes back to us with travel. ”

Initially, this speech was to allow the Head of State to announce a new cycle of reforms and “turn the pageOf the health crisis which has now lasted a year and a half.

“At the start of something that looks like an epidemic wave”?

Alas, the Delta variant, now responsible for nearly one in two of the new cases of contamination according to Public Health France, decided otherwise. With 3,777 cases per day, the number of cases in France has increased by 63% over the past week.

«We are at the start of something that looks like an epidemic wave“, Warned Olivier Véran this Sunday, July 11 on Radio J.”The hospital load so far is not increasing, but the same will happen as last summer», He insisted. According to the British authorities, the Delta variant (ex-Indian variant), now in the majority across the Channel, is 40 to 60% more transmissible than the Alpha variant (ex-English variant). Dominique Le Guludec, president of the Haute Autorité de santé, estimated on BFMTV that the Delta variant was “50% more contagiousThan the English variant.

A more transmissible, but less lethal variant

«It is much more contagious than the B.1.1.7 which came to us from Great Britain, which itself was already more contagious than the original strain that triggered the first wave», Confirms Mylène Ogliastro.

But should we be worried about it? According to the latest study by the government agency Public Health England (the British equivalent of Public Health France) released on June 25, the case fatality rate of the Delta variant is only 0.2 to 0.3% on 170,000 cases against 1.9% of the 225,000 cases of the Alpha variant identified across the Channel. “The English curves show that there is not really an increase in the number of hospitalizations thanks to the vaccination effect. Most of the people who get the infection today are unvaccinated.», Specifies Mylène Ogliastro. Failure to prevent transmission, or even contamination, sufficiently broad vaccination coverage would therefore prevent serious forms linked to the virus, according to the virologist. But such a scenario, if confirmed, does not for all that augur an imminent exit from the crisis, specifies our interlocutor:

“The danger is to re-circulate a virus with insufficient collective immunity. Ultimately, the risk is to recreate viral diversity in a vaccinated landscape. The virus could thus bypass or escape the immune system. In terms of viral evolution, it is quite possible, ”explains Mylène Ogliastro.

In other words, allowing the virus to circulate presents a major risk: that of seeing new variants appear as individual contaminations progress. A not very optimistic scenario which makes say to the virologist of the INRAE ​​that “the health crisis can last another three to five years». «Every time the virus infects someone, there is a resampling of potential variants. On huge population sizes, a variant with an evolutionary advantage may very well emerge and become dominant, as we have seen with the British then Indian variant.», She explains.

Vaccination, “the only solution we have”?

Hence the need to “block transmission at all costs», Pleads Mylène Ogliastro. Problem: the various vaccines against Covid-19 would be less effective in the face of this new mutation of the virus. According to the Israeli Ministry of Health, Pfizer-BioNTech’s vaccine would only be effective at 64% against the Delta variant, against 95% against other forms of the virus. According to Public Health England, the efficacy drops even below 60% in the case of the AstraZeneca vaccine. In the absence of treatment recognized by the health authorities, vaccination remains despite everything “the only solution we have»At present, estimates Mylène Ogliastro:

“As long as hospitalizations and severe forms continue to decrease, we can put up with barrier gestures and wearing a mask. We do not have an effective treatment for the moment, because it takes much longer in research time. “

In its latest opinion published on July 8, the Scientific Council now considers that “the epidemic can only be controlled with 90% to 95% of people vaccinated or infected.“An estimate revised upwards,”taking into account the transmission of new variants, especially in people over 60 years of age», Specify the researchers. A threshold “unattainable as it is“For Mylène Ogliastro, who nevertheless risks a screening:

“It is possible that the virus is still as transmissible in the future, but diminishes in virulence thanks to immunity, like a cold. But it can take twenty or fifty years before it gets there… ”, slips the virologist.

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Muhammad Ali Rizk reveals that the artist Hani Hassan has a disease that he described as difficult

11:05 PM

Thursday 01 July 2021

Books – Hani Saber:

The artist, Mohamed Ali Rizk, announced that the artist Hani Hassan was exposed to a health crisis as a result of a difficult disease he suffers from.

Rizk published a picture of him from the hospital, through his Facebook account, and commented: “Hani Hassan, our friend, the beautiful, comprehensive, talented, talented Al-Jadaa… he has a difficult disease, unfortunately.”

He added, “I do not understand his condition, because I do not say anything wrong. But it is clear that the issue is very big.. Moreover, it is not something that they pray for Hani, may God heal him and make him safe.”

It is worth noting that Hani Hassan’s last artistic participation was through the play “Isis of the East” by the Knights of the East Heritage Band on the stage of the Republic.

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The New York Times questions the efficacy of Chinese vaccines in countries like Chile

(EFE) – Some countries currently suffer new coronavirus outbreaks despite maintaining high inoculation rates of vaccines mainly manufactured in China, which suggests that these preparations may not be as effective in the fight against the disease and its new variants, says this Wednesday The New York Times.

The New York newspaper has developed an investigation based on COVID-19 contagion data in some countries that have used mostly Chinese vaccines such as the Seychelles, Mongolia o Chile.

Mongolia promised its people a “Summer without COVID”. Bahrain said there would be a “return to normal life.” The small island nation of the Seychelles aimed to revive its economy, cites the New York Times.

All three placed their faith, at least in part, in readily available Chinese-made vaccines, which would allow them to implement ambitious vaccination programs when much of the world did not have them.

Read also: Minister Paris announces that Chile exceeded 80% of vaccination with first dose: “Mission accomplished”

But instead of being free of the coronavirus, all three countries have seen spikes in infections.

China launched its vaccine diplomacy campaign last year by committing to providing an injection that would be safe and effective in preventing severe cases of COVID-19. At that time, the success of this and other vaccines in curbing transmission was less certain.

Now, examples from various countries suggest that Chinese vaccines may not be very effective in preventing the spread of the virus, particularly of the new variants.

The experiences of these countries reveal a harsh reality facing the post-pandemic world: the degree of recovery may depend on the vaccines that governments administer to their citizens, need The New York Times.

Read also: Despite high vaccination: Israel exceeded 100 COVID-19 cases due to Delta variant concern

In the Seychelles, Chile, Bahrain and Mongolia, 50% to 68% of the population have been completely inoculated, surpassing the United States, according to Our World in Data, a data-tracking project.

All four were among the ten countries with the worst COVID outbreaks last week.says the newspaper. And all four mainly use injections made by two Chinese vaccine manufacturers: Sinopharm y Sinovac Biotech.

“If vaccines are good enough, we shouldn’t see this pattern.”said Jin Dongyan, a virologist at the University of Hong Kong.

In the United States, about 45% of the population is fully vaccinated, mainly with doses made by Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna. Cases have fallen 94% in six months.

Read also: Pdte. Piñera called on boys, girls and adolescents between 17 and 12 years old to get vaccinated: “We all have to protect ourselves”

Israel provided injections from Pfizer and has the second highest vaccination rate in the world, after Seychelles. The number of new daily confirmed COVID-19 cases per million population in Israel is now around 4.95.

In the Seychelles, which relied mainly on Sinopharm, that number exceeds 716 cases per million.

Disparities like these could create a world where three types of countries emerge from the pandemicThe rich nations that used their resources to secure Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna vaccines, the poorest countries that are far from immunizing the majority of citizens, and then those that are fully inoculated but only partially protected.

China, as well as the more than 90 nations that have received vaccines from that country may end up in the third group, dealing with this pandemic for months.

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Khaled Alish in the hospital after going through a health crisis (photo)

10:06 AM

Tuesday 08 June 2021

Books – Abdel Fattah Al-Ajmi:

Tariq Alish, the brother of the broadcaster and artist Khaled Alish, revealed that he had gone through a health crisis.

And “Tareq”, through his account on the “Facebook” website, posted a picture of “Khaled” while he was on a hospital bed, and commented: “A thousand peace upon you, my love, simple and, God willing, you will make it like elephant.”

It is mentioned that Khaled Alish’s latest work is the series “The Best Father”, which was shown in Ramadan 2021, with the stars: Ali Rabie, Hajar Ahmed, Ahmed Tohamy, Hossam Dagher, Sami Maghawry and others.

The series was written by Mohamed Mohammadi and Ahmed Mohie, directed by Moataz Al-Tuni, and produced by Synergy Company.

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