CDU stable, Greens and SPD now on par

In the federal election campaign, the race will be tighter, at least for the Greens and the SPD. Only the CDU can currently rest on a comfortable lead, shows the new INSA survey.

In the latest INSA poll on the federal election, which was commissioned by Bild am Sonntag, the Greens and the SPD are now on par with 17 percent. The Union currently holds its top position unchallenged at 28 percent. The AfD gained one point compared to the previous week and is now 11 percent. The left was able to compare the same increase, receiving the approval of eight percent of those questioned in the survey. The FDP still has a stable 12 percent. Small parties receive a total of seven percent.

Mathematically, a government majority from the Union, FDP and Greens (Jamaica coalition) or the German coalition from the Union, SPD and FDP would be possible. Neither a traffic light coalition nor black-green currently have a majority.

In the current Kantar poll by Emnid (July 10), the CDU has 29 percent, the SPD 15 percent, the Greens 19 percent, FDP and AfD 11 percent, and the Left 8 percent.

Dobrindt sees the German coalition as a solution for the federal government

In the “Germany coalition” expected in Saxony-Anhalt, CSU regional group leader Alexander Dobrindt sees a possible model for all of Germany. Such an alliance of the Union, SPD and FDP is “also conceivable for the federal government, there must also be a government option without the Greens,” said Dobrindt of “Bild am Sonntag”


The Union and FDP want to relieve high earners in particular

The election programs of the Union and FDP would not only put the greatest strain on the state budget, but also exacerbate inequality in the country. Leibniz researchers have calculated that.

In the Bundestag election in September, a clear decision can be made as to which direction the distribution policy should take. From the proposals of the Union and the FDP for tax, family and social policy, higher incomes would benefit particularly strongly, as scientists from the Leibniz Center for European Economic Research (ZEW) calculated on behalf of the “Süddeutsche Zeitung”.

In contrast, if the election programs of the SPD, the Greens and the Left were implemented, lower and middle incomes would be significantly better off. The plans of the Union and FDP also tore the largest gap in the state budget: According to ZEW, the respective tax cuts add up to a minus of 33 billion euros or 88 billion euros. For the left and the Greens, a surplus would be expected instead, for example due to a wealth tax.

Researcher: More inequality with Union and FDP

The Union and FDP are counting on the fact that additional economic growth would arise through tax cuts and that more money would flow into the tax coffers as a result. The SPD, the Greens and the Left, on the other hand, want to relieve lower and middle incomes and finance this through higher taxes for top earners.

“We are observing a camp election campaign in terms of distribution policy,” said Sebastian Siegloch from ZEW on Thursday. “The parties have clearly made up their minds where they stand when it comes to distribution policy.” Their plans had a direct impact on inequality in the country. The measure of inequality would decrease with the plans of the left, the Greens and the SPD, while it increased for the FDP and Union.

Significant differences in the electoral programs

According to the ZEW calculations, the SPD, the Left and the Greens would primarily benefit from gross annual incomes of up to 40,000 euros. A married couple with two children could therefore have a good 3,000 to 5,000 euros more at this level of income. The FDP and the Union would only provide relief of around 900 euros in this income group.

A married couple with two children and a gross income of 120,000 euros could, on the other hand, expect relief of around 6,500 euros or 2,300 euros from the FDP and Union. The SPD and Greens plans would also provide for a slight relief here. Annual income of 300,000 euros would, however, burden the SPD, the Greens and the Left, while the FDP and Union promise them between 10,500 and 18,200 euros more.


Lukashenko’s opponent Viktor Babariko has to go to prison for 14 years – politics abroad

The Belarusian dictator Alexander Lukashenko (66) is again cracking down on political opponents in the country. This time he pays an outstanding bill.

The Supreme Court in Belarus sentenced the opposition activist Viktor Babariko (57) to 14 years in a prison camp on Tuesday. He is accused of corruption and had to listen to the guilty verdict from a lattice cage.

Internationally, the trial is criticized as a farce, and the verdict is seen as Lukashenko’s belated revenge. Before the presidential elections in August 2020, the former bank chief Babariko was considered to be the incumbent’s strongest competitor. A few weeks before the election, however, he and his son were arrested when he was about to sign off for his candidacy.

Babariko himself rejects the allegations against him. “The guilty verdict is based on allegations that have no legal basis,” said his lawyer Dmitri Lajewski. There is no possibility of appeal because the highest court of the country, as the highest instance, has also issued a judgment. That is also illegal in Belarus. Lajewski therefore wants to bring the case to the UN Human Rights Committee.

The Belarusian opposition leader Svetlana Tichanovskaya (38) described Babariko on Twitter as “one of those who woke our country up last year.”

And further: “He wanted to see Belarus as a just, fair, open country. The regime is taking revenge on him in a terrible way. “

Prosecutors had asked Babariko to be imprisoned for 15 years. In addition to the imprisonment, the court imposed a fine of 145,000 Belarusian rubles (almost 50,000 euros) and a ban on activity for several years after Babariko’s release.

Supporters of the opposition had gathered in front of the courtroom in Minsk, and arrests were made during the protests that followed the verdict. “When at the end there was solidarity applause for him, he smiled. He took it bravely. He is a strong personality and will continue his political struggle, ”said his spokesman Gleb Germanchuk in front of the court.

Lukashenko threatens to stop EU goods transit

At the same time, Lukashenko threatened his avowed opponents of the European Union with stopping the transit of goods to the east. The Belarusian market could be closed first, he said on Tuesday. After that, there could no longer be any movement of goods via Belarus to Russia and China.

That is exactly how the Germans have to be treated. “Let them bring their goods to Russia and China via Finland. Or via Ukraine, ”he added.

The rulers did not explain who the threat was directed against Germany and when the measures would come into force.

Lukashenko’s muscle games are a reaction to the sanctions that the EU imposed on the government in Minsk at the end of June after repeated human rights violations. These are primarily directed against the country’s economy. They affect the petroleum sector as well as telecommunications goods that can be used for repression and European loans for the ailing economy of Belarus.


“How can you print posters that white?”

There are still a good two and a half months until the general election. The CDU has now presented its campaign slogan. The campaign met with criticism on the Internet – for a wide variety of reasons.

“Do Germany together”: With this motto the CDU wants to draw in the federal election campaign. The central element of the election campaign is the so-called “Union Circle” as a “strong symbol of solidarity”, explained Paul Ziemiak at the presentation of the election campaign in Berlin.

“We bring people together,” emphasized the CDU General Secretary. One is not the party of “either / or”, but of “both-and”. In the coming months, the CDU chairman Armin Laschet wants to campaign for votes with a large-scale summer tour.

This is what Twitter says about the CDU’s election campaign

In addition to Laschet as a candidate for chancellor, the election posters show topics such as jobs, climate protection, security, family and education or affordable housing. They are now being delivered to the district associations of the CDU.

The CDU campaign met with criticism on Twitter: “How can you print such white, non-diverse posters in 2021?” Tweeted an employee of the Green Bundestag member Margarete Bause, looking at the election posters under the Hastag #deutschlandgemeinsammachen.

The Dresden SPD politician Rasha Nasr criticized the CDU campaign as “as inspired as the way you dealt with Maassen: lack of character and attitude”. The images are unimaginative and lack variety, the syntax is doubtful.

Other critics accused the campaign of hypocrisy: The green climate activist Luisa Neubauer was bothered by the slogan “Protect the climate. Create jobs.” Former Green chairman Cem Özdemir was also unimpressed by the campaign.

Models from the party

Simon Lavo-Braumann, who works for the SPD parliamentary group, took the slogan “Do Germany together” as an occasion for a picture montage of Laschet with the CDU Bundestag candidate Hans-Georg Maaßen.

Laschet stands up to the own party in the criticismbecause he does not clearly distance himself from measures and their positions. Most recently, for example, the ex-constitution protection chief attacked the “Tagesschau” and brought a committee of inquiry against the “Norddeutscher Rundfunk” into discussion: Maaßen spoke several times of connections between employees of the broadcasting corporation and the left-wing extremist scene. He did not provide any evidence for this.

The election posters are checked by a printer: The party said it wanted to avoid the risk of infection in times of the pandemic. (Source: Friso Gentsch / dpa)

Because there was no risk of infection in the pandemic and no nurses or police officers wanted to be deterred from their job, according to Ziemiak, only employees from their own party headquarters can be seen on the posters. For example, the vice-boss of the online campaign “CDU-Connect”, Clara von Nathusius, can be seen on one of the posters disguised as a police officer.


Peru 2021 Elections LIVE: Latest news today, July 1, proclamation of JEE results | JNE LIVE TODAY | 100% ONPE | Pedro Castillo | Keiko Fujimori | Free Peru | Popular Force | Second round | lbposting | POLITICS

Peru 2021 Elections LIVE: Latest news today, July 1, proclamation of JEE results | JNE LIVE TODAY | 100% ONPE | Pedro Castillo | Keiko Fujimori | Free Peru | Popular Force | Second round | lbposting | POLICY | THE PERU COMMERCE


How Emmanuel Macron wants to forget the regional ones

ANALYSIS – The president proceeds to the final arbitrations which will mark out the final stretch of his five-year term.

He can no longer even dream of a coronation of the Blues to hope to console himself. The day after the slap received by LREM in the regional and departmental elections, Emmanuel Macron once again witnessed the defeat of the camp he supported on Monday evening. From Versailles, where he organized a dinner in honor of big bosses on the sidelines of the Choose France summit, the President of the Republic followed the match of the French football team, beaten on penalties by Switzerland and eliminated at the round of 16 of the Euro. Unlike last June 15, where he congratulated himself on Twitter on the victory of the world champions against Germany, the head of state did not wish to react publicly this time. Proof that, in politics as in sport, he does not balk at insisting on success, but considers that the lessons of failures must be learned behind closed doors in the locker room.

This is precisely what he is applying to himself at the moment. At the end of a marked ballot

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Regional elections: the National Gathering loses its bet in Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur

After coming first in the first round last week, Thierry Mariani (RN) lost in the second against Renaud Muselier (LR).

Lhe second round of the regional confirmed Sunday an almost record abstention of around 66%, and the bonus given by voters to outgoing LR and PS, but also marks the failure of the RN to take a region, including Paca, its best chance ten months before the presidential election.

After the last polling stations close at 8 p.m., the participation of some 48 million voters called to the polls on Sunday stands at around 33% in metropolitan France, at the same level as in the first round, and well below the 55 , 57% of 2015.

Marking a dizzying surge compared to 2015, abstention reached some 66% (66.7% in the first round, 41.59% in the second round of 2015), despite repeated calls for a vote from the political class between the two rounds .

If the polls predicted before the first round of June 20 a victory for the RN in the Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur region, the party of Marine Le Pen and its candidate Thierry Mariani (ex-LR now RN) see the victory slip away. enemy brother Renaud Muselier, outgoing LR president. Mr. Muselier garnered 53 to 55% of the vote against 44 to 46% for Mr. Mariani, according to the polls at the exit of the polling stations.


ex-policeman Adams gets closer to town hall

published on Wednesday 23 June 2021 at 06:08

Former police officer Eric Adams took an important step towards mayor of New York by coming in first Tuesday after the first recounts of the Democratic primary, even if the final results will not be known for several days.

Shortly after 11:30 p.m. (03:30 GMT), the current Brooklyn neighborhood president won 30.9% of the vote, according to the New York State Election Office, quite clearly ahead of progressive candidate Maya Wiley (21.6 %), which will have finished the campaign as a cannonball.

With 86% Democrats among New Yorkers affiliated with a party, the winner of Tuesday’s primary is almost guaranteed to win on November 2, general election day, and succeed Bill de Blasio, in office since 2014 and extremely unpopular.

After 16 months of health crisis which weakened the city’s economy, it will be up to the new city councilor to revive New York, which is wondering about its future.

The embodiment of a revival, the entrepreneur Andrew Yang had long been in the lead, before stalling in recent weeks and collapsing frankly Tuesday, to glean only 11.6% of the vote.

In the middle of the evening, the former candidate for the Democratic presidential primary admitted defeat. “I won’t be New York’s next mayor based on tonight’s numbers,” he said.

Arrived at the head Tuesday, Eric Adams benefited from his image of former police officer, in a city where the insecurity is now at the top of the concerns of New Yorkers.

Even though crime figures remain at historically low levels, shootings are up 73% since the start of the year, and a spate of incidents in the metro has recently increased the pressure, with support local chains and tabloids.

“New York really needs order,” said Susan Green, 74, on Tuesday morning after voting on the Upper East Side. “I have seen drastic changes and I don’t like what I’m seeing,” said the woman who voted for Andrew Yang.

Born and raised in New York, Eric Adams is a self-made man, a police officer for 22 years who worked, during his career as a law enforcement official, against the discrimination that plagued the New York police.

– Moderate vs. progressive –

Behind the favorite, Maya Wiley performed well, supported by the support of several figures from the left wing of the Democratic Party, first of all elected to Congress Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.

The former advisor to outgoing mayor Bill de Blasio positioned himself as an alternative to a security approach, proposing in particular to cut part of the police budget, as demanded by many activists of the movement born after the death of George Floyd.

With more than 89% of the ballots counted (the remaining count of the votes by correspondence), she was ahead on Tuesday Kathryn Garcia (20.4%), former municipal head of cleanliness Kathryn Garcia, who is a synthesis between the moderate wing and the progressive branch of the party.

But nothing is settled, because New York adopted this year, for its primaries only, the so-called “ranked-choice” vote, which allows up to five names to appear on the same ballot, ranked in order. preferably.

During the counting, the candidate with the lowest ranking on the total ballots is eliminated and the second choice of the voters who placed him first is now counted. The mechanics then repeat themselves until a candidate reaches 50% of the vote.

This elimination system, added to the already traditionally significant delays in New York for the counting of ballots by correspondence, could postpone the announcement of the winner of the primary to mid-July.

The uncertainty over the traditionally very low turnout (14% of Democrats voted in the last primary in 2017) further complicates the equation.

The absence of a candidate for more than 30% in the polls and the launch of this new voting method make this primary “unique” in the history of the city, according to Doug Muzzio, professor of political science at the University of Baruch .


Regional development to achieve social welfare

Humberto Armenta

Chairman of the Board of Directors of RECSA; He has also served as president of the American Society of Civil Engineers ASCE and national president of the Mexican Chamber of the Construction Industry, among others.

Today more than ever it is necessary to use innovative schemes to promote regional development, whose objective is to promote the social well-being of all the inhabitants of our country. In accordance with our constitutional regime, the public sector, the social sector and the private sector must concur, with social responsibility.

The regulations on Public Private Associations (PPPs), in force since the last decade at the federal and state level, determine the conditions for the entry of private capital into infrastructure projects and the provision of public services, directly benefiting communities and generating business opportunities that activate the economy at the national, state and municipal levels. It is a useful tool for governments by establishing clear rules to allow private investment in projects in which there are no public resources and that in many cases would not be carried out if it were not under this scheme.

As infrastructure is one of the main factors that create conditions for development, the need for new and modern projects is not the exception in the state of Michoacán. In this sense, the state PPP law incorporates the technical, financial and legal mechanisms necessary for the government to be in a position to evaluate projects from two perspectives, that of the state to identify the need to carry out works or to procure the provision of services and the feasibility of the projects presented by private individuals being the ideal ones in terms of economic and social profitability.

Undoubtedly, this model has multiple advantages for Michoacán, starting with a reduction in project execution times, planning done by specialists and the elimination of time limitations, as is the case of those projects financed with public budgetary resources. The PPP mechanism is a winning formula for Michoacán, promoting the construction of new infrastructure and the improvement of the existing one for the benefit of the population. In addition, it will generate jobs and an economic benefit for the benefit of local companies. With the above, the door opens to new road, rail, port, airport, hydraulic and energy infrastructure projects, increasing the interconnectivity and competitiveness of the state.

At this time, it is crucial to use all the tools that enable the integral development of the state of Michoacán. Its privileged location, as well as its varied natural resources, make it an ideal destination for investment. The creation of strategic alliances between the government and private investment will be key to achieving balanced regional development.


Greens & SPD: Union election program anti-social and haphazard

The Union’s program for the Bundestag election has been set. Shortly after the performance, however, there is immediate criticism. Green politician Anton Hofreiter describes it as a “weary way of doing things”.

The Greens and the SPD criticize the CDU and CSU program for the federal election as anti-social, forgotten about the future and haphazard. SPD leader Norbert Walter-Borjans told the “Augsburger Allgemeine” that it was confirmation that both parties were emaciated and worn out.

The chairman of the Greens in the Bundestag, Anton Hofreiter, said that instead of a departure, Union Chancellor candidate Armin Laschet presented “a weary way of doing things”. The Union program is “forgotten about the future, anti-social and unsound”. When it comes to climate protection, for example, Laschet wants to “cheat his way through” and thus continue the patchwork from 16 years of government under Angela Merkel, Hofreiter told the editorial network Germany (RND). Economists also expressed doubts that the election platform is solidly financed.

Against tax increases – relief for companies

The 139-page manifest is entitled “The Program for Stability and Renewal. Together for a Modern Germany”. Despite the massive national debt as a result of the Corona crisis, the CDU and CSU rule out tax increases. They want to completely abolish the solidarity surcharge, tax relief for small and medium incomes, as well as families with children. A reduction in corporate taxes is also announced. The Union is also committed to maintaining the debt brake and wants to return to a federal budget without new debts as quickly as possible.

Hofreiter complained that there were no effective measures for a stronger expansion of renewable energy sources, the mobility transition or a faster phase-out of coal. And instead of financing the urgently needed investment offensive to modernize the country, the Union wants to lower the tax for some of the wealthy. “The vast majority of the working population is simply forgotten by the Union,” said Hofreiter. “A higher minimum wage, strong unions, family-friendly working hours – the Union does not want any of that.” The election on September 26th will therefore be a directional decision between departure and standstill.

Walter-Borjans concluded that the program was the lack of planning in terms of securing the future, cast in letters. “No concept for stable pensions, child support that rises with increasing income, private homes for a few before affordable rents for many.” The SPD leader criticized that large parts of the program were anti-social. “The mantra is: lower taxes for those at the top, and otherwise let go.”

Climate activists criticize the program

Climate protection activists also criticized the CDU and CSU election manifestos as inadequate in the fight against global warming. Luisa Neubauer from the climate protection movement Fridays for Future, which is also a member of the Greens, told the Rheinische Post: “This party program is a 139-page refusal to protect us from the climate crisis and the 1.5-degree target The largest people’s party still refuses to recognize the greatest crisis, let alone to tackle it. Shocking. “

Experts agree that much more must be done around the world by 2030 if global warming is to remain well below two degrees – as agreed by almost 200 countries in Paris in 2015. The earth has already heated up by around 1.2 degrees compared to pre-industrial times. The already visible fatal consequences: Depending on the region, there are more heat waves and droughts as well as heavy rain, storms, storms and floods.

Klöckner: Union wants to “make good things better”

The deputy CDU chairwoman Julia Klöckner told the “Rheinische Post” that the Union stands for measure and middle. “We don’t want to turn the country upside down like others. We don’t want radical change – we want to make good things better.” The chairman of the Junge Union, Tilman Kuban, spoke in an interview with the “Neue Osnabrücker Zeitung” of an “alternative proposal to the Green’s ban policy”.

The director of the Institute of German Economy (IW), Michael Hüther, told the RND that he saw contradictions in the Union program. Debt settlement and investments, which are absolutely necessary, hardly went together. The reference to economic growth, as Laschet made when presenting, is correct. “But because of demographic change, it would be naive to believe that the Federal Republic will simply grow out of debt, as it did after the world financial crisis.” The President of the Munich Ifo Institute, Clemens Fuest, misses “a convincing and sufficiently concretized concept for the long-term solid financing of the pension insurance”.

Union increases in surveys

In the new Insa opinion trend for the “Bild” newspaper, the CDU and CSU increase by one point to 28.5 percent, while the Greens have lost half a point compared to the previous week and are now 19 percent. 14 percent are reported for the FDP (+ 0.5 points) – more than ever since the beginning of this survey. The Liberals are now just behind the SPD, which falls to 15.5 percent (- 1). The AfD comes to 10.5 percent (- 0.5), the left to 7.0 percent (+ 1).

According to the survey, a black-green coalition would – due to the five percent hurdle for smaller parties – achieve a wafer-thin majority in parliament with 47.5 percent. A traffic light coalition of the Greens, SPD and FDP would be a little stronger with a combined 48.5 percent. For the previous red-black coalition (44 percent) or for green-red-red (41.5 percent), however, there would be no majority.