PS plus first and Chega stands out in third

If the legislative elections were held today, António Costa would qualify to win the second absolute majority for the PS_in the history of Portuguese democracy, according to the barometer of the Eurosondagem / Libertas Group for the Sunrise.

In fact, in this study on the intention to vote of the Portuguese, PS_gains this month the trust of over 0.8% of the electorate, adding up to 40.8%, which, with PSD_a not exceeding 27.3%, would correspond to a parliamentary bench certainly with more than 115 deputies – it should be noted that, in relation to the 2019 legislatives, the party in government adds 4.4% more, while the largest opposition party remains at 27%.

The most significant difference in relation to the last elections for the Assembly of the Republic comes, however, from Chega: André Ventura’s party more than triples the percentage of voters, now reaching 9 percentage points (plus 7.7% of the than in October 2019). And Ventura surpasses Jerónimo de Sousa in the popularity ranking of party leaders.

Catarina Martins’ BE, which once again lost points, is reached by the Jerónimo PCP (with 5.2%).

Among the smaller parties, the departure of André Silva and the entry of Inês de Sousa Real do not seem to have given new impetus to the PAN (2.1%), which continues to trail the CDS of Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos (2.2%) and the IL by João Cotrim Figueiredo (2.5%).

Who do you think will win the next municipal elections?

PS: 42,1%
Other party: 43.1%
Doesn’t Know/Doesn’t Answer: 14.8%

Who do you think will win the Lisbon Chamber?

PS: 42%
Other party: 45.5%
Doesn’t know/Doesn’t answer: 12.5%

Who do you think will win the Porto Chamber?

Rui Moreira: 42.4%
Other Candidate: 44%
Doesn’t know/Doesn’t answer: 13.6%

How do you see the role of the President of the Republic?

Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa: +71.1%

How would you vote if the legislative elections were held today?

PS: 40,8% (+0,8%)
PSD: 27,3% (-0,1%)
Enough: 9.0% (+0.6%)
Left Block: 5.2% (-0.3%)
CDU: 5.2% (+ 0.2%)
Liberal Initiative: 2.5% (-0.2%)
CDS: 2,2% (-0,3%)
PAN: 2,1% (-0,1%)
Other Parties/White and Nulls: 5.7% (-0.8%

How do you see the role of political leaders?

António Costa: +45.8%
Rui Rio: +22.5%
André Ventura: + 4.8%
Jerónimo de Sousa: + 4.4%
Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos: +1.3%
Catarina Martins: -3.6%
Cotrim Figueiredo: -7.7%
Inês Sousa Real: -10.1%

TECHNICAL DATA: Opinion Study carried out by Eurosondagem for the newspaper Nascer do SOL, Porto Canal, Açoreano Oriental, Diário de Aveiro, Diário Insular dos Açores, Diário de Coimbra, Diário de Leiria, DN Madeira, Diário de Viseu, Oeiras Actual ( CM Oeiras) and Setubalense with the sponsorship of Grupo Libertas from 5th to 8th July 2021. Telephone interviews, carried out by selected and supervised interviewers, for mobile phones and landline telephones. The Universe is the population aged 18 or over, residing in Mainland Portugal and the Autonomous Regions. Sample stratified by Region, and random with regard to Gender and Age. A total of 1295 interview attempts were made and, of these, 273 (21.1%) did not agree to collaborate in the Opinion Study. 1022 interviews were validated. The maximum error of the Sample is 3.07%, for a probability degree of 95.0%. A copy of this Opinion Study is deposited with the Regulatory Authority for
the Social Communication. Lisbon, 9th July 2021. The Technical Manager of Eurosondagem Rui Oliveira Costa

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The new 14 ” and 16 ” MacBook Pros launched in September?

It was in September that Apple would finally lift the veil on its redesigned 14 “MacBook Pro and 16” MacBook Pro, according to DigiTimes sources (via MacRumors). The Taiwanese publication indicates a presentation at the end of the third quarter, which therefore leads us to the start of the school year. According to Mark Gurman, on Bloomberg, we should expect a very calm summer on the front of novelties: the journalist anticipates a flood of releases this fall, but it will therefore be necessary to wait a little longer.

Concept par MacRumors

Apple has reportedly been behind schedule with the overhaul of the MacBook Pro, which should only affect high-end models that still incorporate Intel chips at the moment. There had been rumors of a WWDC presentation in June, and the “m1x MacBook Pro” tag finally appeared in the video of the conference released by Apple on YouTube, a sign that Apple may have pushed back. announcement at the last minute.

It is in any case a major revision which is announced. On the processor side, we should discover the M1X chip (and not M2), a more muscular variation of the Apple M1 chip with 8 cores dedicated to performance and 2 for energy savings, against 4 for performance and 4 for energy savings. energy on the M1 chip. There would be two different editions of this M1X chip with 16 or 32 graphics cores, compared to 7 or 8 cores today on the M1 chip.

On the design side, Apple would use a new more angular chassis with richer connectivity: the MacBook Pro would integrate the MagSafe magnetic connector, an HDMI port and an SD card reader. Apple would also make a cross on the Touch Bar, replaced by traditional function keys. The small model would go from 13.3 “to 14” with reduced bezels around the screen. Another major novelty is the integration of a Mini-LED panel, as on the iPad Pro 12.9 “, which would make it possible to obtain absolute blacks. DigiTimes also claims that Apple would provide an investment of $ 200 million to support the production of these next-generation tiles, with suppliers struggling to keep up with demand for the moment.

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The iPad mini 6, a miniature iPad Air?

The iPad mini 6 would take the design of the iPad Air 4, but smaller. This is what Jon Prosser says on Front Page Tech, with several 3D renderings made by RendersbyIan to show us the result. These images would have been created from CAD files used by Apple’s subcontractors, and revealing the precise dimensions of this future tablet: 206.3 x 137.8 x 6.1 mm. The current model is 203.2 x 134.8 x 6.1 mm, so it’s almost identical.

By getting rid of the home button and integrating an edge-to-edge screen with reduced margins, Apple could therefore offer a much larger panel in an almost unchanged chassis: rumors suggest a diagonal between 8.5 “and 9” , compared to 7.9 “today. As on the iPad Air 4, there would be no facial recognition of Face ID, but the fingerprint recognition of Touch ID would be integrated into the power button of the Jon Prosser also promises better speakers and the switch from the Lightning connector to USB-C. Finally, Apple has reportedly planned a smaller Apple Pencil model.

iPad mini 6 concept

iPad mini 6 concept

iPad mini 6 concept

iPad mini 6 concept

Comparison with the iPad Air 4

Last week, Mark Gurman claimed that the iPad mini review was scheduled for “Later this year”. The journalist also promised a new design with a larger screen, reduced bezels but without expressing himself clearly on the adoption of the edge-to-edge design already used on the iPad Air. The same goes for Ming-Chi Kuo, who is counting on a launch in the second half of the year without further details. What Jon Prosser puts forward seems in any case perfectly coherent and we rather want to believe it.

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iCloud evolves, the paid version becomes iCloud +

Change of name for the paid version of Apple’s cloud service which becomes iCloud +. Apple is taking the opportunity to add new services, on the free version and the paid version. ICloud + prices remain unchanged.

On iCloud +, Apple is adding a new feature called Private Relay. Simply put, it is a VPN, which goes through two servers to anonymize your connection, so that neither the site visited nor Apple can see any personal data concerning you.

iCloud + Private Relay

Another feature is called Hide My Email Address, and it’s quite aptly named. When registering somewhere, it is possible to select this option which will create a random iCloud address on the fly, redirected by the user’s account. It is then possible to deactivate this address at any time in the event of a problem. By the way, Apple indicates that iCloud + will allow users who wish to use their own domain name for their iCloud Mail account: this is an important novelty for some professionals.

iCloud + Hide my email

iCloud + will also make it possible to support an unlimited quantity of HomeKit Secure Video cameras, the content of which has the particularity of not being deducted from the storage of the iCloud account.

iCloud + Cameras

On iCloud itself, that is to say for all users whether they pay for a subscription or not, Apple also has two new features to offer. The first is called iCloud Recovery and it offers a simple way to recover your password in case of loss: just assign one or more trusted contacts who will have a special code to recover the account in question. The second is called iCloud Legacy and it allows you to designate contacts who can recover account data in the event of the death of its owner.

iCloud Recovery iCloud Legacy

Finally, a last very interesting novelty has been designed for heads in the air who do not regularly back up their devices: with iOS 15, Apple will allow you to make an iCloud backup of your iPhone or iPad even if the space available on it. iCloud is not enough, for free, with three weeks of availability for backup. This could be practical as part of a repair or a change of device without the possibility of making a physical backup immediately.

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Rio was the party leader who dropped the most in the evaluation

Rui Rio was the party leader who lost the most this month in the Aximage barometer for DN, JN and TSF. When asking the Portuguese for an assessment, the PSD leader now has a negative balance of 26 points (the difference between the positive and negative notes). The fall of the Social Democrat between April and May (16 points) even surpasses that of António Costa (which fell 12 points). Since the socialist has the comfort of being the only party leader with a positive balance.

Costa gets a percentage of positive ratings above the average among those living in the Lisbon region (54%), among women (seven points more than men) and among socialists (87%). And this is the biggest contrast with Rui Rio, who does not convince even those who vote for the PSD: 35% of Social Democratic voters give him a negative rating and only 33% give him a positive rating.

Rio’s assessment is also particularly negative among the voters more to the Right (Iniciativa Liberal e Chega). This may also be a consequence of his insistence on placing the party ideologically at the center, as he did again in the so-called “rights congress”, which took place last May.

Blocist and liberal on the rise

In this month’s barometer there are two leaders who stand out on the positive side: Catarina Martins and João Cotrim de Figueiredo manage to balance their assessment and reach zero balance. The blocker wins four points and the liberal seven, from April to May.

At the bottom of the table is André Ventura, from Chega. The negative evaluation of a considerable portion of Portuguese people has already become the norm. The rejection of the radical right leader is more visible in the Metropolitan Area of ​​Porto (66%), in those aged between 50 and 64 (68%), in those with higher incomes (70%) and in the blockist electorate (86%) .

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PS cements leadership despite Costa’s fall

António Costa’s popularity is declining, but the wearer of the leader does not affect voting intentions in the PS, which, if there were today legislative elections, would have 38.9%, according to the Aximage survey for the DN, JN and TSF . The Socialists are once again worth more than the sum of all the parties on the Right, thanks to a new stumbling block by the PSD, which loses two points compared to April (24%). On the left, the news is not good either, with BE losing more than a point (8%), despite maintaining third place, ahead of Chega (7%). These are followed by CDU (5.7%), Liberal Initiative (5.2%), PAN (3.7%) and CDS (1.4%).

The gap that separates the PS from the PSD has widened to 15 percentage points, after a month in which the former rose a few tenths in the projection of electoral results, while the latter dropped a little more than two points. If the Social Democrats stayed at this level in elections, it would be their worst result ever (at the level of 24.4% in the 1976 elections). As for the Socialists, they would be three points above the results of 2019, but far from the 44% of Guterres and 45% of Socrates, the only time they achieved an absolute majority in the Assembly of the Republic.

The electoral resistance of the PS is even more significant when one realizes that António Costa’s popularity has suffered a significant shake-up. Despite being the only leader with a positive balance, he saw the margin narrow, whether in the assessment as secretary general or in the assessment as prime minister (as we realized Saturday). The best explanation for the paradox is perhaps the Portuguese distrust of the alternative. Because Rui Rio, who was already starting from a negative level, sank even more abruptly than Costa.

Right better than in 2019

One of the consequences of the divergent paths of the two main parties is that the gap between the Left and Right groups already exceeds 15 percentage points. Being significant, it is three points less than what was seen in the last legislative elections. And maybe that’s because the ratio of forces to the Right is no longer the same, as is being shown from barometer to barometer.

The political bloc ranging from the PSD to Chega, and which met in May under the umbrella of the Europa e Liberdade Movement, now totals 37.6 percentage points, one less than in April and two less than the peak reached in last February (39.5%). But that’s three points more than in the last elections (and one more than the coalition led by Passos Coelho and Portas in 2015). The so-called new Right seems to have the potential to add some votes and not just split them.

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Opposition hits bottom, with a very negative balance in older people

Among the opposition parties, there is not much reason to celebrate António Costa’s downward trajectory. If the scenario was already bad in April, it got worse in the last month, as shown in the Aximage survey for DN, JN and TSF: the opposition hits bottom, with only 22% of positive grades and 39% of negative grades, the worst negative balance (18 percentage points) since the start of this series of barometers in July last year.

Looking at the results of the various segments of the sample, it would be expected, for example, that many of the older citizens who massively turned their backs on the prime minister would approach the alternative. The expectation is not confirmed. Dislike with the provision of opposition increases with age (positive balance, and of only one point, only among the youngest) and among those aged 65 or over, there is a negative balance of 43 points (Costa has a positive balance of 15 points in the same step).

With regard to the party segments, the balance is only positive for the opposition among communist voters. The most caustic are the voters of the two new right-wing parties, as usual: in the case of Chega, there is a negative balance of 36 points, in the liberals it reaches 60 points. But also among the Social Democrats, the discomfort with the opposition and, presumably, with the performance of their own party, is accentuated: a negative balance of 17 points.

Northern leadership

Regarding the figure that leads the opposition, Rui Rio (32%) remains four points ahead of André Ventura (28%), but both at low tide. The PSD leader accumulates a loss of nine points in two months. In a distant third place appears Catarina Martins (17%), two months ago at high tide.

Rui Rio’s leadership is more visible in the Northern and Porto Metropolitan Area regions. Ties with the leader of Chega in the South, but loses to the latter in the Centre, while the Blocist coordinator has the best results in the regions of Lisbon and the South.

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