Expert predicted the emergence of a “second front” of the Karabakh conflict

Azerbaijan army continues offensive

Military actions in the Nagorno-Karabakh region may spread to other regions of Azerbaijan and Armenia. According to the official statement of the Ministry of Defense of Azerbaijan, the territory of the Nakhichevan Autonomous Republic – an enclave that is separated from the main territory of the country – came under rocket fire. Officials in Armenia deny the fact of shelling, however, as “MK” managed to find out in a conversation with experts, the very fact of accusations may become a prologue for the conflict to reach a new level. And in the near future, Armenia will have to fight on two fronts.

The conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh continues to gain momentum. Despite the ceasefire concluded in Moscow, both sides did not stop hostilities. After stubborn battles, the Azerbaijani army occupied the strategically important city of Hadrut and continues to develop the offensive. Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev stated that the offensive will continue until the city of Shusha, a key settlement that opens the road to the capital of the unrecognized Nagorno-Karabakh Republic, the city of Stepanakert, is repulsed.

Also, according to the Ministry of Defense of Azerbaijan, the hostilities partially spread to the territory of the Nakhichevan enclave – an autonomous republic within Azerbaijan, which is separated from the main territory of the country and borders on Armenia and Turkey. As noted in Baku, the territory of the enclave came under rocket fire from the Armenian side.

“The Armenian armed forces launched a missile strike on the territory of the Ordubad region,” the press service of the Azerbaijani Defense Ministry said.

Officials in the Armenian government refute this information. However, as military expert Alexander Mikhailovsky noted in a conversation with MK, such statements, regardless of their authenticity, indicate the transition of the conflict to a potentially new level.

– As I said earlier, the global offensive plan, drawn up with the participation of Turkish military advisers, provides for several stages. The first is to occupy the southern part of Nagorno-Karabakh. That is, along the border with Iran. The Azerbaijani troops have successfully completed this. The second stage, most likely, is to shake the situation in the Nakhichevan region in order to strike also along the Iranian border towards the troops advancing from the main territory of Azerbaijan.

-What will the successful completion of this operation mean for Azerbaijan?

-Strategic success across the region. If Nakhichevan joins Baku with a continuous corridor, it will be a huge victory. Azerbaijan will receive a direct connection with Turkey, which is extremely beneficial from the point of view of economic integration of the two countries. So the risk is justified here.

-What exactly is the risk?

-A group that will move along the border runs the risk of being cut off from the main forces and taken into encirclement. Something similar happened to the Ukrainian army in the summer of 2014. Then the Ukrainian military from the encirclement fled to Russian territory across the border. I think that both Baku and their partners take this experience into account and will act smarter. They successfully repulsed one attempt to encircle. Plus, the risk is that the advancing group is not increasing. If they get involved in hostilities according to the enemy’s scenario, the losses may be too great and even without a de jure defeat, in fact there will be simply no one to attack and nothing.

-The President of Azerbaijan says that the target of the offensive is the city of Shusha. What is the reason for this?

– With the memory of Azerbaijanis about their main military defeat in the last Karabakh war. Then the Armenians managed to defeat the Azerbaijani troops in the city as a result of a decisive offensive. Azerbaijan considers this city an extremely important historical and cultural center for its country, so its capture will be perceived by the people as a historical victory. But it should be noted that Shusha is surrounded by mountains from all sides, the only road goes to Stepanakert. How they plan to attack in this case is unclear.

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when the best general of the People’s Army confessed the dark secrets of the Republic

Manuel P. VillatoroManuel P. Villatoro

Updated:

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It was 1978 when the general Jose Miguel Vega, then Chief of the Army General Staff, but also a former officer of the National side, surprised his audience by praising the “military capacity” of some officers of the Second Republic such as Enrique Líster. He did so during a lengthy official speech at the Military Easter. But, in a Spain that was still in a process of change and evolution, his statement caused stupor among those present. Europa Press reported that Lieutenant General Carlos Iniesta Cano, one of the protagonists of the advance on Madrid in the Spanish Civil WarHe crossed himself in his seat “in full view.” They were different times…

Vega’s thesis contrasts

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Greece, Europe without a voice

This is the news of the week: Greece has bought eighteen Rafale planes from us, with the aim of responding to the boasting of Turkey, which is playing its kingpin in the Aegean Sea. On the industrial level, there is cause for celebration. Even if it seems that part of this purchase will consist of planes that have already flown for French aviation, it is a breath of fresh air for Dassault who, due to the Covid crisis, had some concerns about his logbook. orders, and planned to negotiate with the state to obtain some subsidies to support its activity. Cocorico, therefore, for this first order from an EU country for the flagship of our national aviation industry.

→ READ. Rafale orders by Greece: good news for the aeronautics industry

Well, believe it or not, I, the staunch patriot, the convinced European, I remain doubtful. Not that I think we should avoid showing our teeth in the eastern Mediterranean; I am not naive, and I am well aware that Turkey’s aggressiveness requires a firm response. The signing of this contract is one of the strong signs that could show that we Europeans will not let ourselves be trodden on.

Yet Greece! The same Greece that we pointed out not so long ago, that we pilloried for the mismanagement of its national budget, that Germany and ourselves have almost brought to their knees by demanding the greatest rigor in this area, and whose inhabitants have suffered so cruelly from the diktat, dare we say it, imposed by Berlin and Paris. Greece will spend a few billion euros to buy fighter jets, while it struggles to ensure the payment of pensions for its citizens, that its health system is ruined, and that its social organization has been severely torpedoed by drastic economic measures. Greece is arming itself, but does it really have the means? Of course, I can imagine that all possibilities of financing will be offered to it, and that our country will ensure both to be paid and to give the Greeks the capacities of their ambitions. However, I am wondering about this operation which will burden an already severely tight budget, to the detriment, no doubt, of the population.

If there is to be Europe, I wonder to what extent the necessary solidarity between EU Member States could not have played out in another way, in a more visible way than a purchase of this type. Collective banging of the fist on the table, perhaps deploying a few more ships in the Aegean Sea, in short, form a united front. On second thought, this sale of a few Rafales to Greece sounds more like a failure than a victory. The repeated failure of a Europe which struggles to speak with one voice, the failure of a European diplomacy which exists only through the incarnation of Josep Borrell, “the Union’s high representative for foreign affairs and foreign policy. security ”, whose activity is not the most audible, to say the least. In his defense, none of the Member States, despite the institutional commitments that created this post, is prepared to delegate all or part of its powers in this area to it. The chancelleries continue their work in dispersed order, too often in the greatest confusion, without Josep Borrell being able to do much about it.

→ QUESTION. European recovery plan: can we qualify the agreement as “historic”?

In these times of pandemic, I discovered once again that I, too, am sick, sick of a Europe that never stops dividing, each trying to advance its pawns to beat the adversary. , be he a partner, an ally, a friend. Yes, we have sold eighteen Rafales, yes, we have played a good game, yes, it will support our national industry, which is in dire need of it. But where is the ideal? Where is this European dream of greatness? We, whose global economic power is formidable, what is our voice? How far does it carry? I am afraid it is not very audible in Ankara, as it is not in Washington or Beijing either.

And we, the French, who nod with a satisfied air, what about our leadership? It may be said that I am bitter or too idealistic. I believe in it, however; I am inhabited by the fantasy of a powerful Europe, united by unwavering bonds that neither the economy nor the will to make money would corrupt. So, I forcefully proclaim it, not even a Rafale can make me change my mind. We do not sacrifice an ideal for a few billion euros, we do not sacrifice an ideal on the altar of the Golden Calf.

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Coronavirus, also the Army for checks on the territory. Hypothesis targeted mini-lockdown

The government is studying the moves after the new increase in infections in Italy. The Interior Ministry writes to the prefects: if necessary, the Army will also be in action for anti-assembly checks. The executive has on the table the draft of the next dpcm ready to be launched on Wednesday 7 October. We also think about possible territorial closures that are increasingly localized if the Rt index rises too much above 1. The opening hours of the premises, in particular restaurants and pubs, are monitored

Targeted checks, patrols against gatherings and even the military in the field to verify compliance with the rules, such as the obligation of masks. But also widespread mini-lockdowns to stem the increase in outbreaks. In Italy the coronavirus (THE SPECIAL – LIVE UPDATES) has started to spread again at a more worrying rate in recent weeks. And the government is moving to try to limit the new spread of the infection. The Interior Ministry is ready to provide further support, with extraordinary activities and – if needed – the help of the army (THE SITUATION IN ITALY: MAPS AND GRAPHS).

The new dpcm is coming

The latest bulletin from the Ministry of Health recorded 2,844 new cases in 24 hours. New precautions are already on the way. The executive has on the table the draft of the next dpcm ready to be launched on Wednesday 7 October. Several hypotheses circulate: from the obligation of outdoor masks throughout the country to possible limitations on the closing times of pubs and restaurants, up to the strict rules on the quota of presences in sports and recreational facilities such as theaters and cinemas (even if the ANICA president, Francesco Rutelli, states that “the government has assured us that at the moment this is not on the agenda”).

I mini-lockdown mirati

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Coronavirus, Locatelli (Cts): “Italy does not risk a new lockdown”

The government is also working on the hypothesis of targeted and increasingly localized closures. In fact, some mini lockdowns – with the bars closed from 6 to 6 the next day and the suspension of barbers and hairdressers – have already been arranged in some territories. The latter are foreseen with an ordinance of Basilicata nel Potentino, until 13 October for the municipalities of Tramutola and Marsicovetere.

The Interior Ministry also moves

In the rest of the country, controls, at the express request of the Interior Ministry, will be increasingly stringent. The head of the cabinet of the Ministry of the Interior, Bruno Frattasi, sent a circular to the prefects in order to take all the initiatives within their competence to limit the risk of contagion. The circular reiterates “the commitment of the Police Forces in ensuring compliance with the anti-Covid provisions through the general prevention services that characterize the control activities of the territory, as well as the possibility of targeted controls in relation to urban and at the most crowded times “. If that were not enough, the military will also take the field. The control activities can be modulated – the circular reads – “with the usual cooperation of local police operators and with the possible help of military personnel belonging to the ‘Safe Roads’ device, within the framework of the relevant Employment Plan'”.

The situation in Campania and in other regions at risk

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Lazio, mandatory masks even outdoors: the regional ordinance

In this context, an “ad hoc” plan could be evaluated for Campania, one of the regions with the highest population density and now with the highest number of daily infections. The governor Vincenzo De Luca will ask for it in the next few hours, who will meet the Interior Minister and the Chief of Police at the Viminale: a significant increase in patrols, targeted checks and more sanctions will be ordered in the next few days. Same requests from the mayor of Benevento, Clemente Mastella, who asked the Prefect for the help of the army over the weekend also in his city. Even in the capital, checks are now in full swing, especially in nightlife venues, a few hours after the regional ordinance on the obligation to wear an outdoor mask. After Campania, Lazio, Sicily, Calabria, Piedmont and Basilicata, from the road to the minor limitations depending on the places of assembly, now even in the Marche who does not wear the device will be fined.

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Several new laws will come into force in Russia in October

Some support measures to expire on October 1

A photo: GLOBAL LOOK PRESS

Russian legislation expects several changes at once in October. They will concern the registration of Russian citizenship, the rules for collecting donations, conscription, hookahs and taxes.

October 1 starts autumn conscription… In 2019, 132 thousand people were sent to the troops. This year the number of recruits is four thousand lower – 128 thousand recruits. All of them will be provided in military units with disposable medical masks and antiseptics.

In addition, from October 1 in Russia, restrictions will be lifted, which allowed charging overpayment of tax against the payment of such a tax. Now it will be possible to redistribute excess funds between different types of taxes.

Get Russian citizenship it will be possible under a simplified scheme for those who have adult children with Russian citizenship. The law will come into force on October 12.

Also in October, a ban on hookah smoking in restaurants.

From October 1 will end some support measures… Individual entrepreneurs who closed their business after March 1 will no longer receive the maximum amount of unemployment benefits 12 130 rubles

The action will end bankruptcy moratorium for businesses from the hardest hit industries.

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How Macron is waging his secret wars

INVESTIGATION – Since his election, the President has launched increasingly offensive military operations and authorizes serial “neutralizations”. Our collaborator Vincent Nouzille investigated this top secret facet of presidential action.

By Vincent Nouzille

Emmanuel Macron, May 14, 2019, during the tribute ceremony to the two special forces soldiers who died on May 10 during an operation in Burkina Faso.
Emmanuel Macron, May 14, 2019, during the tribute ceremony to the two special forces soldiers who died on May 10 during an operation in Burkina Faso. Jacques Witt / SIPA

It was a summery, but chilling defense council. On August 11, 2020, from Fort Brégançon, President Emmanuel Macron meets by videoconference with his Prime Minister Jean Castex, the royal ministers, the chief of staff of the armed forces and the bosses of the intelligence services. The agenda is serious, mourning the murder, on August 9, of eight people, two Nigerians and six French members of the NGO Acted, in the Kouré reserve, near Niamey, in Niger. A real massacre committed by men arriving on motorcycles.

Until now, this area still seemed protected from repeated attacks by jihadist groups who have spread their guerrillas in several countries of the Sahel. The 5,100 French soldiers of Operation Barkhane have increased for six months the lightning operations aimed at weakening the two main rival nebulae, the GSIM (Support Group for Islam and Muslims), linked to al-Qaida, and the EIGS (Islamic State in the Great Sahara), affiliated with Daesh, in particular

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“Musicians and medicine”, by Dr. Adolfo Martínez Palomo

MEXICO CITY (proces.com.mx) .– When the bicentennial of Wolfang Amadeus Mozart’s death was commemorated in 1991, the Mexican doctor, scientist and academic Adolfo Martínez Palomo (1941) began the bibliographic search, writing and public presentation of the texts now published by El Colegio Nacional in fourteen double installments.

This new compact format series includes the biographies of: Monteverdi and Vivaldi, Bach and Handel, Haydn and Mozart, Beethoven and Paganini, Rossini and Schubert, Donizetti and Bellini, Berlioz and Mendelssohn, Chopin and Schumann, Liszt and Wagner, Verdi and Gounod , Clara Schumann and Brahms, Borodin and Bizet, Tchaikovski and Puccini, Mahler and Shostakovich.

Today we offer excerpts from the second volume entitled Musicians and medicine. Clinical histories of great composers. Bach and Handel (86 pages in 12 by 18 cm format, bibliography, illustrations and iconographic credits, www.colnal.mx), written by Martínez Palomo who has stood out for his research on the painful Herpes Zoster virus.

“Two colossi of classical music Johann Sebastian Bach (1685-1750) and Georg Frideric Handel (1685-1759), both born the same year in Germany and yet they did not get to know each other personally. Bach always remains in his country, where he has twenty children. Handel, on the other hand, makes fame and fortune in England, without getting married. Long and prolific lives both, united with a common end: blindness, caused by the clumsy intervention of the same apprentice eye surgeon. “

Creativity: inheritance or learning?

(…) With the forgiveness of the fans of the hereditary theory of creativity, I would like to insist that nothing indicates in Johann Sebastian’s childhood or early adolescence the existence of a genius, rather, it is appreciated, yes, an exceptional commitment to learn from your elders. (…)

At fifteen, our character eagerly copies compositions from others, at night, at an age when other musical geniuses have been writing music for a long time. At that age he has to leave his brother’s house, which is already insufficient due to the birth of four more nephews.

By the way, one of the physical attributes of Johann Sebastian that has caught the attention of his biographers has been… the strength of his legs! And is not for less. What a path he had to go in his youth to absorb the musical knowledge of the greats of his time! Nothing was too far away, nor was the weather so bad that it prevented him from making trips on foot in search of better knowledge. Thus, it traveled 40 km between Ohrdeuf and Eisenach and 360 km between Ohrdruf and Lüneburg. (…)

Bach, as we have said, had foolproof health throughout his life, well into his maturity. A neurologist has commented, when analyzing the portrait of Bach, the obvious obesity of the composer and the presence of a slight facial paralysis, perhaps due to a cerebral infarction. If anything, the only well-documented physical weakness was his eye problem.

For ophthalmologists who have reviewed his history, Bach was probably nearsighted, judging by the appearance of the eyes in the only true portrait that remains, taken at age sixty-one. [por Elias Gottlob Haussmann, en 1746, reproducido a colores en este libro de Martínez Palomo] which shows the composer “straining his eyes.” This myopia may have allowed him the hard work of reading and writing countless scores. (…)

On the advice of his friends, the composer consulted an English eye doctor, the gentleman John Taylor, who had operated, sometimes with some success, on many European personalities, including the contemporary Handel. Taylor was actually a great charlatan, dominating more of the art of advertising than of science (…)

In Bach’s time the usual medical treatment for cataracts ranged from esoteric diets, to bloodletting and the application of leeches. The surgical procedure was followed by eye washing with a mixture of Peruvian balsam and hot water. This was followed by poultices added with cassia pulp, camphorized fosters, bandages, a light diet, and drugs to evacuate without effort.

Less than four months after Bach’s death, the operating room was installed in the Tres Cisnes restaurant (…) Three months and three weeks after the operation, Bach presented cerebral palsy of vascular origin and was unconscious. He developed a fever, possibly pneumonia, and died on the night of July 28, 1750 at the age of sixty-five, despite the best Leipzig physicians. (…)

The dear Saxon

HAMBURG, DECEMBER 5, 1704.- During the performance of the opera Cleopatra by Johann Mattheson, a nineteen-year-old German musician who leads the singers from the harpsichord refuses to let the composer displace him from his instruments: the dispute escalates and the two heated musicians decide to settle it in a duel. Fortunately for mankind, the sword that struck the young performer’s chest only broke a metal button on his jacket, saving Handel’s life and leaving the work of one of the greatest and most prolific composers for posterity. of music. (…)

His fame reached Italy, where he was invited by a Medici prince (…) At the age of twenty-five Handel returned for a few weeks to Germany, to Hannover. Why did he receive the appointment of “master of the chapel” of the court there, with a very high salary (fifty times higher than he had received as an organist) and permission to be absent for a year, when in reality what that court was interested in was send it to London? For some, this appointment disguised the true task assigned to the composer: to insert him into the English court and receive from him information about the state of health of Queen Anne, already very ill. The interest was that the direct successor to the throne of England was precisely the Elector of Hannover, Georg Ludwig, so the sickly Queen Anne died, Hannover needed to be aware of the events in London. (…)

His contemporaries described him as impetuous, brusque and authoritarian, but completely devoid of malice and wickedness, despite the many enemies that success produced him in London. From time to time he had uncontrolled bouts of irritability and rage. For example, on one occasion he argued with the famous French Italian singer Cuzzoni and said “Oh, ma’am! I know well that you are a true devil, but I am going to show you that I am the boss of all devils.” He then took her by the waist and led her to the window, where he threatened to throw her into the street.

For much of his life Handel was physically healthy, endowed with a remarkable capacity for work. With a thick complexion like his father, he soon showed a frank tendency to obesity due to his irrepressible enthusiasm for food and his no less joyous fondness for alcohol, especially for Port and Madeira wines. His contemporaries called him “the Bear” for his corpulence and decomposed walk, but also for his tenacity, energy and strength. In it, several factors were combined that could well cause high blood pressure and hardening of the arteries in adulthood: being overweight, the habit of smoking tobacco (in the pipe), a sedentary life and economic and work stress.

Handel’s good health began to decline after the age of fifty, just at a time of great financial and administrative tension due to the difficulties of staging his operas; headaches, irritability, colic, rheumatic pain.

In 1737, after a period of great fatigue and disappointment, “the machine broke”: he suffered paralysis of the right arm that affected mainly the fingers of that hand, and consequently prevented him from playing the harpsichord and the organ. Along with the paralysis, he presented certain mental alterations, “which modified his understandings,” according to a written comment by a contemporary, perhaps referring to mental confusion or speech problems. (…)

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An army of officials and technicians to organize aid

The Government is aware of what is at stake, has prepared a complex institutional framework and has involved an army of technicians and senior officials from all ministries, especially those responsible for the bulk of public spending, to design the first document to be presented to Brussels in October and the most detailed to be sent from January.

Thus, an inter-ministerial commission has been built in which all the departments are involved. In addition, it has been launched a monitoring commission –Since one of the requirements of the community program is to carry out evaluations on the progress of investments and the fulfillment of objectives–, as well as a conference to have dialogue with the autonomies –since they are responsible for investment areas such as education and health.

There will also be sectoral forums, to have dialogue with companies, know their needs and involve them in the investment: the money from Brussels has the additional objective of mobilizing private resources to multiply growth.

The Government, in addition to relying on the rich public infrastructure, has required the support of great consultants for questions of form – presenting the information required by Brussels well – and of substance – such as the development of harmonized databases with which to work.

If in other European countries it is Economy that leads the organization of the reception of funds, in Spain there is a co-leadership between Nadia Calviño and the presidency of the Government, with a somewhat more relevant weight for Moncloa. So, The commission with the Ibex-35 companies is directed by Sánchez’s chief of staff, Iván Redondo; the monitoring unit is the subject of Manuel de la Rocha, director of the Moncloa economic office; and for Calviño the command remains in the interministerial commission.

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An army of officials and technicians to organize aid

The Government is aware of what is at stake, has prepared a complex institutional framework and has involved an army of technicians and senior officials from all ministries, especially those responsible for the bulk of public spending, to design the first document to be presented to Brussels in October and the most detailed to be sent from January.

Thus, an inter-ministerial commission has been built in which all the departments are involved. In addition, it has been launched a monitoring commission –Since one of the requirements of the community program is to carry out evaluations on the progress of investments and the fulfillment of objectives–, as well as a conference to have dialogue with the autonomous communities –since they are responsible for investment areas such as education and health.

There will also be sectoral forums, to have dialogue with companies, know their needs and involve them in the investment: the money from Brussels has the additional objective of mobilizing private resources to multiply growth.

The Government, in addition to relying on the rich public infrastructure, has required the support of great consultants for questions of form – presenting the information required by Brussels well – and of substance – such as the development of harmonized databases with which to work.

If in other European countries it is Economy that leads the organization of the receipt of funds, in Spain there is a co-leadership between Nadia Calviño and the presidency of the Government, with a somewhat more relevant weight for Moncloa. So, The commission with the Ibex-35 companies is directed by Sánchez’s chief of staff, Iván Redondo; the monitoring unit is the subject of Manuel de la Rocha, director of the Moncloa economic office; and for Calviño the command remains in the interministerial commission.

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Facebook removes accounts with links to Philippine Police and Army

Facebook reported that in the last hours it removed a network with links to the Philippine Police and Army, whose members hid their identity to try to influence public opinion in the country and attack certain groups and parties.

The US company suppressed 57 accounts, 31 pages and 20 Instagram accounts, which hid their police or military origin and acted in a coordinated manner to criticize the Communist Party of the Philippines, its military arm, the New People’s Army and the opposition to the president of the country, Rodrigo Duterte.

Chinese fake nets

The network was active during 2019 and 2020 and shared messages in both Filipino and English, it had a total of 276,000 followers in Facebook, 5,500 on Instagram and $ 1,100 was spent on advertising.

In parallel, the Menlo Park company (California, USA) also suppressed another fake network originating in China which tried to influence public opinion in the Philippines, Southeast Asia and to a lesser extent in the USA.

This network consisted of 155 accounts, 11 pages, 9 groups and 6 Instagram accounts, which were managed by individuals from the Chinese province of Fujian who they hid their identity.

Interference in the USA

In its contents for the Philippines and Southeast Asia, this network shared messages in Mandarin, Filipino and English favorable to the Philippine president and the Beijing interests in the area, and critical of the opposition and organizations and entities considered contrary to these interests.

In their content for the US, which Facebook indicated barely achieved any significance, they referred to the November elections and were both favorable and negative with respect to both candidates: the Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Joe Biden.

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