“It is not a quarter past twelve, it is half past twelve.” Biostatistician Geert Molenberghs talks about Belgium in HLN, but the same applies to other countries in Western Europe.
“We have to understand that the curve will not start falling immediately. Compare it with a rocket: it shoots straight up, then deviates from its trajectory and only then goes down. We have yet to see that deviation. In March we had to wait two, almost three weeks for that. ”
“The question is whether we can make it with our hospital capacity. Can we protect the system without it bursting at the seams? If we all work very hard, our efforts can bring some relief around Christmas. But this could get worse than last time. We have learned that throwing off the belt can only be done a little during this period. It won’t be Christmas 2019, and hopefully 2021 will be better than 2020. But celebrating New Year with large numbers of people? Forget it. New Year will be like Christmas: an intimate celebration with the family. ”
In Belgium, the situation is most precarious in Wallonia and Brussels, where the figures resemble those in Amsterdam