10 realistic forecasts for the 2020 NBA trade deadline | Laundress Report

0 out of 10

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    The NBA bargaining deadline is February 6, which gives teams less than a month to agree on offers during the 2019-20 season.

    Many big names could be moved, but most come with asterisks attached.

    Chris Paul and Kevin Love would almost certainly be traded without their massive contracts, while off-season additions by Angelo Russell, Al Horford, Derrick Rose and JJ Redick could already be looking for new homes.

    Teams such as the Cleveland Cavaliers, Detroit Pistons, New York Knicks, and New Orleans Pelicans have huge selling potential, given their poor track records and the number of veterans who could be of great value. elements of rotation in rival teams.

    In a few weeks, here are 10 forecast transaction times for this campaign.

1 in 10

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    Although the trade deadline may be calm, this year’s version will be different.

    There are clearly buyers who have already learned about talent, but the teams on the other side may not yet be ready to throw in the towel.

    Only four of the 30 teams have played more than five playoff games with more than 40 competitions to go. Even the New Orleans Pelicans, who are second to last in the Western Conference at 14-26, are just four games out of the eighth seeded seed.

    In the East, a Chicago Bulls team that has lost six of its last seven games to fall to 14-26 is only 4.5 games behind the Orlando Magic for eighth place.

    With the last seed in the West (and the last two in the East) wide open, teams can wait until they swap players until the last minute. This is unusual, given that the Los Angeles Clippers won the final playoff spot in the West with a record 48-34 last year, with the closest team, nine games later.

    While some teams are well below .500, it’s hard to barter talent if the playoffs are close at hand.

    Expect the majority of transactions to be completed around the deadline.

2 out of 10

    Jeff Chiu / Associated Press

    Whether Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson are able to return this season or not, the eyes of the Golden State Warriors should be on 2020-2021 given the Western Conference record 9-32, the team’s worst.

    For Russell, it means staying put. At least for now.

    The Athletic’s Sam Amick reported “that a source familiar with the Warriors’ thinking deems it” unlikely “that he will be moved” and that any rumor of a Russell and Aaron Gordon trade with the Orlando Magic was a “no “hard. “”

    There’s no reason to face the 23-year-old All-Star, especially since he leads the Warriors with a career high of 23.2 points per game. Golden State is 29th on offense (103.8 points per 100 possessions) and could move veterans Alec Burks (15.8 PPG) and Glenn Robinson III (12.2 PPG) to the deadline, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic, which makes Russell’s scoring and playing even more valuable. .

    With the base franchise Draymond Green in trouble this season (8.6 points, 5.6 assists, 38.7% FG, 27.2 3%), the Warriors need someone to put the ball in the basket, by far the best quality of Russell.

    This lost season at Golden State relieves the pressure to find a business partner for Russell, at least until the Warriors see how he fits with Curry and Thompson.

3 out of 10

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    While they won’t go for one of Kevin Love’s or Chris Paul’s big fish, the Miami Heat won’t remain silent by the deadline.

    Marcus Morris would be a great fit for the striker, given his tenacity, defensive versatility and playoff experience.

    His expiring $ 15 million contract means Miami won’t have to worry about the contract being canceled in the summer of 2021, when players such as Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kawhi Leonard and Paul George could hit free will.

    Morris leads the New York Knicks with 19.1 points per game and is second in the NBA with a 46.9% success rate out of three.

    Miami should be willing to include a first-round pick (2025 being the first year it can do it) even on what could be a rental, if the Knicks are ready to take on the Dion Waiters or James Johnson contract. While neither would yet benefit from the Knicks’ reconstruction, the two are turning into expiring contracts that could be reversed next season.

    The Cleveland Cavaliers and Milwaukee Bucks made a similar deal last year, with the Bucks giving up on a future first not only to add George Hill, but also to get rid of John Henson and Matthew Dellavedova’s contracts.

    Morris, 30, does not match the Knicks’ reconstruction timeline, and should spark a lot of interest from the running teams before landing in Miami.

4 out of 10

    Zach Beeker / Getty Images

    After trading three entries this summer, it appeared that the Oklahoma City Thunder could sell more veterans before the deadline.

    Instead, they are 22-17 and comfortably seated in the No. 7 seed in the West, with Chris Paul serving as the leader both on and off the field. Given his solid game and his monstrous contract (three years, $ 124.1 million, including this season), Paul will be in OKC after the deadline.

    That doesn’t mean the Thunder won’t try to add to its collection of first-round picks, league leader, of course.

    Danilo Gallinari, acquired from the Los Angeles Clippers in the trade of Paul George, is on an expiring contract of 22.6 million dollars. If the Thunder doesn’t want to spend a lot of money on it this summer (it shouldn’t be), bartering it for something now would be the smart game.

    The Clippers made a similar decision last February, awarding Tobias Harris and his expiring contract to the Philadelphia 76ers in a package that scored two first-round picks.

    Look for CP3 and fan favorite Steven Adams to stay put, with a team like the Portland Trail Blazers calling Gallinari services. Portland needs help with forward positions, and Gallinari gives them a 6’10 “floor spacer that can play anywhere.

5 out of 10

    Glenn James / Getty Images

    The Memphis Grizzlies find themselves in the playoffs even without Andre Iguodala, who joined the team via a trade with the Warriors. Without a change of heart for the 35-year-old striker, it’s time for the two sides to separate.

    Teams who need a defensive wing with championship experience will be interested in Iguodala, but his salary of $ 17.2 million will be difficult for most organizations to match.

    A young team hungry for the playoffs who has the salary to send? Dallas.

    The Mavericks are 24-15 and have the best offense in the NBA (116.8 points per 100 possessions). Perhaps the main areas are holding them back? Experience and defense ranked 17th (109.9 points allocated for 100 possessions).

    Even if he’s on an expiring contract, Iguodala could have a huge impact on a young Mavericks team led by two players (Luka Doncic, Kristaps Porzingis) who have never made it to the playoffs.

    Dallas can use Courtney Lee’s expiring contract as the basis for an agreement, and it has several second rounds in the 2020 plan.

    In what could be Iguodala’s last season, he will reach the playoffs for the 13th time.

6 of 10

    Sean Gardner / Getty Images

    After the pitiful start to the New Orleans Pelicans’ season 6-22, their good vibrations acquired during the summer quickly faded.

    Since then, helped by the return of Derrick Favors and the performances of Brandon Ingram and Lonzo Ball, the Pelicans are 8-4 and only four playoff games.

    While the names of Favors, Jrue Holiday and JJ Redick have appeared in trade rumors, New Orleans would be wise to keep its heart together. With the # 1 pick in the 2019 overall draft, Zion Williamson should debut this week, pelicans should stick to their plan to mold the young talent alongside top veterinarians while participating in the playoffs.

    A healthy Williamson should considerably raise the ceiling for this team and bring back the positive buzz.

    Even if Redick’s 13 playoff streak ends, the Pelicans will keep their team together and stay in the post-season conversation until April.

7 out of 10

    Brian Sevald / Getty Images

    The season of Blake Griffin ended after a knee operation, that the fire sale of the Pistons begins!

    The first is Drummond. According to Sam Amick of The Athletic, the big man is “now widely known to be available”.

    It is difficult to determine a value for the 26-year-old center. Drummond is able to lead the NBA in rebound (15.9 per game) for the fourth time in five years, and he records a career high of 17.6 points per game. He also detained opponents at 52.1 percent by pulling on the rim.

    His $ 28.8 million player option for next season, however, puts him at risk. Drummond could refuse it in the hope of signing a long-term agreement with large sums of money.

    Center hungry Hawks have expressed interest, says Adrian Wojnarowski from ESPN, but Amick said Drummond would already be in Atlanta if the team was ready to include a first-round pick for him.

    With Griffin out, the Pistons shouldn’t give Drummond up for the second round selections, but an offer containing a first round (from New York Knicks or Dallas Mavericks?) Will do the trick.

8 out of 10

    Matt Slocum / Associated Press

    While Al Horford’s production fell in the first season of a $ 109 million, four-year deal with Philadelphia, now is not the time for the 76ers to explore a trade.

    The departure center Joel Embiid having left after an operation of the hand, the team needs the big man of 33 years to take his place. Horford scored 19.0 points, 8.2 rebounds, 4.8 assists, 1.4 interception, 1.3 blocks per 36 minutes when Embiid is off the field. While keeping it is a must at the moment, a disappointing playoff could change that this summer.

    But before the deadline, the Sixers will seek help on the ground. With no large salaries to send, bringing in a player like Alec Burks ($ 2.3 million) meets some needs.

    The Warriors’ goaltender averages a career record of 15.8 points, 4.6 rebounds, 3.1 assists and 1.1 interceptions per game, while shooting 36.4% over three. He could join the starting lineup with Embiid (with Tobias Harris moving to 4) and become the sixth man on the team upon his return.

    With Embiid injured, Horford will stay put, while Burks will join his fifth team since November 2018.

9 out of 10

    David Liam Kyle / Getty Images

    While love has apologized for acting like a “13-year-old” during its recent explosions, a change of scene always seems to be the best course of action.

    The Portland Trail Blazers have been most tied to Love, but the Suns will land what could be the most talented player to switch teams on this cut-off date.

    Phoenix general manager James Jones was Love’s Cleveland teammate, and Love said Jones was “the best teammate I have ever had”. It wouldn’t be surprising if Jones talked about Love.

    The Cavs will not get a huge collection of assets for Love, who is three years old and $ 91.5 million left on his contract after this campaign, but they can move him to a playoff candidate with a bright future. Phoenix has a player with a big salary expiring at Tyler Johnson ($ 19.2 million in 2019-2020), and he can add players like Mikal Bridges and Dario Saric to soften the deal.

    The Suns are only one and a half playoff games away, a destination they haven’t reached since the 2009-2010 season. If Love joined Phoenix, he would find Ricky Rubio, and he would set up career records with Rubio as his leader in Minnesota. Add Devin Booker, Deandre Ayton and Kelly Oubre Jr., and the Suns could be one of the best attacking teams in the league.

10 of 10

    Mark J. Terrill / Associated Press

    Teams led by LeBron James have traditionally taken action on the trade deadline, and this year will be no exception.

    James and Derrick Rose will be reunited after Rose only played 16 games in Cleveland during the 2017-18 campaign. That season, Rose suffered a combination of injuries, left the team briefly for personal reasons, and was eventually traded to Utah Jazz, who gave it up a few days later.

    This version of Rose is much better.

    The 31-year-old playmaker averages 17.8 points and 5.8 assists in 25.4 minutes per game off the Pistons bench. He was a much more willing smuggler, increasing his assistance percentage to 41.9%. In Cleveland, it was a career low of 13.0%.

    Rose gives the Lakers an improvement over Rajon Rondo and allows James to spend more time off the ball if he needs to rest for the playoffs.

    In a busy West that could see deep runs from the Lakers, Los Angeles Clippers, Denver Nuggets, Jazz, Houston Rockets or Dallas Mavericks, getting a player like Rose could help separate the Lakers from the pack.

    Rose is expected to welcome the move to Southern California and a second chance to be James’ teammate.

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